How large should a pilot study be?

Authors

  • R. Crutzen
  • W. Viechtbauer
  • L. Smits
  • D. Kotz
  • L. Budé
  • M. Spigt
  • J. Serroyen

Abstract

Background: Pilot studies are used to identify unforeseen problems or flaws in the procedures and instruments to be used in a subsequent larger trial. But how many participants have to be included in a pilot study in order to be reasonably sure that important problems and flaws will be detected? The aim of this paper is to present a method for sample size calculations in pilot studies. Methods: A formula has been worked out to calculate the sample size needed to be able to identify, with a chosen level of confidence, problems that may arise with a given probability. Findings: A simple formula that can be used to calculate the sample size needed for a pilot study. For example, if a problem exists with 5% probability in a potential study participant, the problem will almost certainly be identified (with 95% confidence) in a pilot study including 59 participants. Discussion: This method can be used to determine the necessary sample size so that the problem is likely to be observed at least once during the course of the pilot study.

Published

2015-12-31

Issue

Section

Oral presentations